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development trends
The price of gold had increased by about 2000% since
the year 1981; during the same period, land properties in metro cities and
suburbs had appreciated by 20000% to 40000% ; take for example the price of 10g
standard gold; it was about INR 1670/-in 1981 ; it ruled at about INR 30000/-
in the year 2013; this works out to CAGR* of about 9%;
*compounded annual growth rate
Bank fixed deposit certificates, during this period,
gave a CAGR of about 9%;
During the same period the inflation grew up by a
CAGR of about 7%;
During this period a plot of one Ground (2400
sq.ft.) in South Chennai went up from about INR 1 lac to INR 400-450 lacs; this
gives a CAGR of about 20%;
The BSE sensex, during this period, grew from about
175 to 19000, giving a CAGR of 15%;
So if we take the real CAGR (nominal CAGR less the
inflation), it works out as follows:
Gold – 2%
FD’s – 2%
Stocks – 8% (this will be higher if we consider the
dividend payouts)
Land – 13%
Of-course all stocks don’t give this return nor
would all properties! Only those who had selected their stock and land pickings
carefully would have reaped a good return in the above lines!
But generally various comparative studies
acknowledge the fact the stock market gives the best rate of return over long
periods, among all asset classes. Obviously one needs good knowledge and
perseverance to stay invested in stock market. It can cut both ways.
Same way beyond one’s dwelling, if one were to hold
landed assets, that requires lot of ability to ensure quality tenants, ability
to get the possession of the same as and when required and avoid encroachments.
So the higher returns from these classes of assets
come with a ‘price’ and they demand ‘active efforts’ as noted above.
Ordinary mortals like the author are happy not
investing in stocks or real estate assets and thus not having to worry on the
returns and the issues that go with these!
Do write to us in case you have some interesting
information or feedback!
Engineering Project Consultancy & Property
Advisory Services,
Residential-Commercial-Industrial-Infrastructure
Designs
Due-diligence studies -Asset valuation services
Chennai -600 083
bv.consultingengrs@gmail.com
www.bveconsultingengineers.com
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